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The Big Question for Mt. Hood Buyers and Sellers In Today's Market

Monday, May 11, 2020
by Liz Warren

Will Home Values Appreciate or Depreciate in 2020?

Will Home Values Appreciate or Depreciate in 2020? | MyKCM
 

With the housing market staggered to some degree by the health crisis the country is currently facing, some potential purchasers are questioning whether home values will be impacted. The price of any item is determined by supply as well as the market’s demand for that item.

Each month the National Association of Realtors (NAR) surveys “over 50,000 real estate practitioners about their expectations for home sales, prices and market conditions” for the REALTORS Confidence Index.

Their latest edition sheds some light on the relationship between seller traffic (supply) and buyer traffic (demand) during this pandemic.

Buyer Demand

The map below was created after asking the question: “How would you rate buyer traffic in your area?”Will Home Values Appreciate or Depreciate in 2020? | MyKCMThe darker the blue, the stronger the demand for homes is in that area. The survey shows that in 34 of the 50 U.S. states, buyer demand is now ‘strong’ and 16 of the 50 states have a ‘stable’ demand.

Seller Supply

The index also asks: “How would you rate seller traffic in your area?”Will Home Values Appreciate or Depreciate in 2020? | MyKCMAs the map above indicates, 46 states and Washington, D.C. reported ‘weak’ seller traffic, 3 states reported ‘stable’ seller traffic, and 1 state reported ‘strong’ seller traffic. This means there are far fewer homes on the market than what is needed to satisfy the needs of buyers looking for homes right now.

With demand still stronger than supply, home values should not depreciate.

What are the experts saying?

Here are the thoughts of three industry experts on the subject:

Ivy Zelman:

“We note that inventory as a percent of households sits at the lowest level ever, something we believe will limit the overall degree of home price pressure through the year.”

Mark Fleming, Chief Economist, First American:

“Housing supply remains at historically low levels, so house price growth is likely to slow, but it’s not likely to go negative.”

Freddie Mac:

“Two forces prevent a collapse in house prices. First, as we indicated in our earlier research report, U.S. housing markets face a large supply deficit. Second, population growth and pent up household formations provide a tailwind to housing demand.”

Bottom Line

Looking at these maps and listening to the experts, it seems that prices will remain stable throughout 2020. If you’re thinking about listing your home, let’s connect to discuss how you can capitalize on the somewhat surprising demand in the market now.

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Mt. Hood Real Estate Sales in March

Thursday, April 23, 2020
by Liz Warren

Mt. Hood real estate sales for March 2020 came in with a total of twelve closings. The sales run the gamut from a Mt. Hood Village cottage, two forest service cabins and two Government Camp chalets closing. The Covid-19 shut down will hugely impact our April sales. Many sellers are holding off putting their homes on the market till things open up a bit more. Current inventory sits at 33 properties for sale. 

The twelve sales are listed below. 

Mt. Hood Real Estate Sales 2020


Mt. Hood Real Estate Sales March 2020

 

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What about the Mt. Hood Real Estate Market Today

Thursday, April 2, 2020
by Liz Warren

Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying

Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying | MyKCM
 

As our lives, our businesses, and the world we live in change day by day, we’re all left wondering how long this will last. How long will we feel the effects of the coronavirus? How deep will the impact go? The human toll may forever change families, but the economic impact will rebound with a cycle of downturn followed by economic expansion like we’ve seen play out in the U.S. economy many times over.

Here’s a look at what leading experts and current research indicate about the economic impact we’ll likely see as a result of the coronavirus. It starts with a forecast of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

According to Investopedia:

“Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period. As a broad measure of overall domestic production, it functions as a comprehensive scorecard of the country’s economic health.”

When looking at GDP (the measure of our country’s economic health), a survey of three leading financial institutions shows a projected sharp decline followed by a steep rebound in the second half of this year:Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying | MyKCMA recent study from John Burns Consulting also notes that past pandemics have also created V-Shaped Economic Recoveries like the ones noted above, and they had minimal impact on housing prices. This certainly gives hope and optimism for what is to come as the crisis passes.

With this historical analysis in mind, many business owners are also optimistic for a bright economic return. A recent PricewaterhouseCoopers survey shows this confidence, noting 66% of surveyed business owners feel their companies will return to normal business rhythms within a month of the pandemic passing, and 90% feel they should be back to normal operation 1 to 3 months after:Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying | MyKCMFrom expert financial institutions to business leaders across the country, we can clearly see that the anticipation of a quick return to normal once the current crisis subsides is not too far away. In essence, this won’t last forever, and we will get back to growth-mode. We’ve got this.

The Mt. Hood real estate market has seen a major slow down with few showings and sales. Only the most serious buyers will venture out and look for property. With the lockdown, most future sellers are taking this time to prepare their homes for sale once things are opening up again. I've had three sales fail with the probable underlying reason being the uncertainty of things right now.  The second quarter will take a heavy toll but by June, as the experts are predicting, things will take off like a rocket, hopefully!

Bottom Line

Lives and businesses are being impacted by the coronavirus, but experts do see a light at the end of the tunnel. As the economy slows down due to the health crisis, we can take guidance and advice from experts that this too will pass.

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What Experts Are Saying About This Market

Thursday, March 26, 2020
by Liz Warren

           

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Mt. Hood Market Stats for February 2020

Wednesday, March 25, 2020
by Liz Warren

February saw nine sales close for the month. I expect March sales to be fairly around that same number. Lack of inventory has still kept a lid on the numbers due to lack of choices for the buyers. February had only 36 properties for sale and that was with 15 new listings. 

The average sales price hit $342,700 with a marketing time averaging 123 days. This could be because of the pricing point in our area these days. As of today, two thirds of active listings on the market are greater than $300,000!

    Mt Hood Real Estate Sales for February 2020

The current pause in the market should be interesting. As we slowly head towards the spring market we should see listings pick up the pace. I expect the second quarter to show few sales as a result of today's slow down but hopefully by summer we will crawl our way out of this. 

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Clackamas County Hearing for Short-Term/Vacation Rental Properties

Wednesday, January 29, 2020
by Liz Warren

The Clackamas County Board of Commissioners will hold a public hearing on draft regulations for short-term/vacation rental properties in unincorporated Clackamas County at the Board business meeting scheduled for 6 p.m., Thursday, Jan. 30, on the 4th floor of the Public Services Building, 2051 Kaen Road, Oregon City. 

The draft regulations are available for public review at www.clackamas.us/planning/str.  People who have comments but are not able to attend the Jan. 30 hearing are welcome to submit their comments by email or US Mail to Senior Planner Martha Fritzie at [email protected] or Planning & Zoning, Development Services Building, 150 Beavercreek Road, Oregon City, OR 97045. 

A second public hearing on the draft regulations and Board action is planned for the Board Business Meeting at 10 a.m., Thursday, Feb. 13. 

Clackamas County defines a short-term rental, or vacation rental, as a dwelling unit, or portion of a dwelling unit, that is rented to any person or entity for lodging or residential purposes, for a period of up to 30 consecutive nights.

The draft regulations include provisions for short-term rental owners to register with the county and pay a fee, and for enforcement of the regulations to be carried out by either the Sheriff’s Office or Code Enforcement, depending on the issue.  Key components of the proposed regulations include rules regarding maximum occupancy, off-street parking, garbage pick-up, quiet hours, and fire and safety requirements.  The regulations would only apply outside of city limits in unincorporated Clackamas County.

More information is available on the project website at https://www.clackamas.us/planning/str.  

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Why Mt. Hood Sellers Shouldn't For Sale By Owner

Monday, December 30, 2019
by Liz Warren

      

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December Mt. Hood Market Update

Tuesday, December 10, 2019
by Liz Warren

          

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5 Reasons To Sell This Winter

Monday, December 2, 2019
by Liz Warren

5 Reasons to Sell This Winter

5 Reasons to Sell This Winter | MyKCM
 

Below are five compelling reasons to list your house this winter.

1. Demand Is Strong

The latest Buyer Traffic Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows that buyer demand remains strong throughout the vast majority of the country. These buyers are ready, willing, and able to purchase, and are in the market right now. More often than not, in many areas of the country, multiple buyers are competing with each other to buy the same home.

Take advantage of the buyer activity currently in the market.

2. There Is Less Competition Now

Inventory is still under the 6-month supply needed for a normal housing market. This means in the majority of the country, there are not enough homes for sale to satisfy the number of buyers in the market.

Historically, a homeowner would stay an average of six years in his or her home. Since 2011, that number has hovered between nine and ten years. There is a pent-up desire for many homeowners to move as they were unable to sell over the last few years due to a negative equity situation. As home values continue to appreciate, more and more homeowners will be given the freedom to move.

Many homeowners were reluctant to list their homes over the last couple of years, for fear they would not find a home to move into. That is all changing now as more homes come to market at the higher end. The choices buyers have will continue to increase. Don’t wait until additional inventory comes to market before you decide to sell.

3. Buyers Are Serious at This Time of Year

Traditionally, homeowners think about spring as a great time to list their homes, when more buyer traffic may be out there actively searching. In the winter, however, the buyers who are seeking a home – whether for relocation or otherwise – are serious ones. They’re ready to make offers and they’re eager to move, often quickly. Your house may be exactly what they’re looking for, so listing when other potential sellers are holding off may be your best opportunity to shine.

4. There Will Never Be a Better Time to Move Up

If your next move will be into the premium or luxury market, now is the time to move up. There is currently ample inventory for sale at higher price ranges. This means if you're planning on selling a starter or trade-up home and moving into your dream home, you’ll be able to do that now. Demand for your entry-level home is high, and inventory in the luxury or premium market is too.

According to CoreLogic, prices are projected to appreciate by 5.6% over the next year. If you are moving to a higher-priced home, it will wind up costing you more in raw dollars (both in down payment and in your mortgage) if you wait.

5. It’s Time to Move On With Your Life

Look at the reason you decided to sell in the first place and determine whether it’s worth waiting. Is money more important than being with family? Are you ready to go on with your life the way you think you should?

Only you know the answers to these questions. You have the power to take control of the situation by putting your home on the market this winter. Perhaps the time has come for you and your family to move on and start living the life you desire.

That is what is truly important.

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Mt. Hood September Sales 2019

Thursday, October 17, 2019
by Liz Warren

Mt. Hood September 2019 Real Estate Sales

Mt. Hood sales are up with pending sales in September reaching 31% higher than this same time period in 2018. Average sales price is $354,000! Twenty sales closed in September and the activity is continuing into October. There are currently 63 residential properties for sale and there are 29 pending sales as of today. These numbers bode well for a great fall of activity. 

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Displaying blog entries 71-80 of 357

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