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Record High Mortgage Debt Sounds Scary. Here’s What the Headlines Leave Out.



 

You may have seen the headlines lately about mortgage debt in America hitting a record high. And maybe your brother-in-law brought it up at the dinner table like he’s been waiting all week to spark a debate.

Here's the thing. He's not wrong. But he only has half the story. And the half he's missing? It changes everything.

Spoiler: homeowners are on stronger footing than the headlines suggest, and the housing market has more going for it than most people realize.

The Headline Number Is Real, But It’s Missing Context

Yes, according to the Federal Reserve, there is currently about $14 trillion in mortgage debt in the United States. That is an all-time high. And when you hear that alongside stories about people struggling to pay their bills, it's easy to assume the worst.

But here's what the data actually shows (see graph below):

a graph of a graph showing the value of a mortgageThis chart from the Federal Reserve tracks three things from 2000 to today: the total value of all U.S. homes (the green line), the equity homeowners hold in those homes (the blue line), and the total mortgage debt owed on them (the orange line).

Right now, home values sit at $47.9 trillion. Homeowner equity is at $34.1 trillion. And the mortgage debt everyone’s worried about? It’s $14.4 trillion.

Debt is at a record high, sure. But the equity homeowners have built up is more than double that number, and it’s also near a record high.

Here's the part worth pausing on. See the years between 2008 and 2013 where the orange line was higher than the blue one? That's when the housing market was in genuine trouble. When debt exceeds equity like it did back then, homeowners have no cushion.

So, when prices dropped in 2008, millions of people owed more than their homes were worth and had nowhere to go. That's what a housing crisis actually looks like. That's not what's happening today. Right now, it’s just the opposite.

The gap between what people owe and what they own has never been wider – in a good way. Today, they have far more equity than debt.

Most Homeowners Are in a Rock-Solid Position

So, we know equity is high nationally. But what does that actually look like at the individual homeowner level? This next chart uses data from ATTOM and the Census to put it in perspective:

a pie chart with textOut of all owner-occupied homes in the country, 33.3 million are owned completely free and clear – no mortgage, no lender, no risk of foreclosure. Another 22.3 million homeowners have more than 50% equity in their homes.

Add those together, and you're looking at nearly two-thirds of all homeowners who have either paid off their mortgage entirely or have such a substantial equity stake that they're in an extremely stable position.

The remaining slice – 29.1 million homes with less than 50% equity – isn't a sign of distress, either. That includes plenty of people who recently bought, are building equity over time, and are doing just fine. 

The point is this isn't a market teetering on the edge. It's a market built on an unusually strong foundation.

Bottom Line

Record mortgage debt makes for a scary headline. But context matters.

Equity is near an all-time high, home values have surged, and the vast majority of homeowners are in a position of real financial strength. The conditions that made 2008 a crisis simply don't exist right now.

If you're wondering what all of this means for your situation, whether you're thinking about buying, selling, or just trying to make sense of the market, reach out anytime. No pressure, just answers.

More Sellers Are Open to Negotiating Right Now

by Liz Warren

           

The Secret To Selling Fast, No Matter the Market



 

When you put your house on the market, you don’t just want it to sell. You want it to sell fast. But the thing is, nationally, it’s taking a little longer to sell lately. And that slowdown can feel frustrating if you want a fast process. Here’s what you need to realize.

In every market right now, there’s one clear exception:

Well-priced, well-presented homes are still selling, and it’s often faster than you’d expect.

If you can tap into that, you can still set yourself up to move quickly, too. Here’s how to get it done.

How Long It Takes To Sell Today

According to Realtor.com, homes are selling in about 52 days right now. That’s how long the process takes from the day it hits the market until closing day.

And while that may sound slow to you, it’s not slow. It’s normal.

That’s because it’s pretty much right in line with what it was during the last normal years in the market (see 2018-2019 in the graph below):

a graph of blue barsIt just feels slow when you’re eager to move – or when you think back a few years to when homes seemed to sell almost instantly.

But here’s what matters most. The market is normalizing. Not at a standstill.

This is the norm for timing from start to finish. You may have an accepted offer in hand even faster than this.

Markets Where Homes Still Sell Quickly, Even Now

Zillow says the typical home will go “pending” or “under contract” in 19 days. Some homes even see it happen in as little as 7 days. It just depends on where you are – and how you prep your house.

So, don’t let the slowing pace of sales stress you out. Homes can still sell fast, if they’re positioned right.

Just to show you, here’s a quick look at some of the markets that are moving faster than the norm, according to Zillow (see map below). This’ll show you how different it can be based on where you live.

a map of the united states with numbers and a price tagThe key things you need to remember when looking at this visual:

  • It varies a lot based on where you live. Within the same state, individual neighborhoods or pockets may sell much faster than the norm.
  • Even in slower moving states, you can still sell quickly. As the map shows, in those places there are still homes that go under contract in as little as a week.

So don’t worry about if your state made either list. As Orphe Divounguy, Senior Economist at Zillow, says:

“The cream of the crop is still selling fast, even in markets that have slowed considerably. . .”

The Big Reasons Some Homes Sit, and Some Sell Fast

And here’s the big secret. While location can definitely play a role, it’s not just about location. It’s about strategy.

Today’s buyers are paying attention to condition. They’re comparing photos, upgrades, layout, location, and price. And they’re choosing homes that feel move-in ready and well worth the value.

The homes that check those boxes? They’re not sitting for long – no matter where they are.

As the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) explains:

“. . . some homes are still flying off the shelves. These houses are often in the Midwest or Northeast, where the lack of new construction keeps a lid on supply. Certain homes in other markets are selling quickly, too, often when a home is move-in ready.”

Because in any market – hot or not – if a home is overpriced, needs too much work, or just doesn’t meet current buyer expectations, it’s not going to sell. 

In this market, the sellers who win are the ones who get real about their house. They’re honest about how their home compares to other listings, realistic about price, and they work with an agent who truly understands today’s market and what it takes to sell.

When your agent knows how to price strategically, spotlight the strengths of your home, and move quickly when the market gives clear signals, that’s when the results follow.

Bottom Line

Today's housing market rewards the right strategy. Because even in a slower area, the homes that are priced realistically and positioned well are still selling – sometimes faster than you may expect.

Let’s connect if you’re ready to make yours one of them.

3 Things That Are Not Going To Happen in Today's Housing Market



 

There’s a lot of uncertainty right now and that’s leading to some dramatic headlines. And if you’re thinking about buying a home, that can make you feel a little less sure about your decision.

A recent study by CNBC asked homebuyers what they’re most worried about, and three themes kept coming up again and again:

  • Mortgage rates
  • The number of homes for sale
  • Home prices

But a lot of what you may be hearing on those is based more on misconceptions. Not facts. So, let’s break it down and separate fact from fiction.

Misconception #1: “I’ll Just Wait, Because Mortgage Rates Are Going To Fall Dramatically”

One idea doing its rounds on social is that mortgage rates are going to drop dramatically soon. So, it’s better to wait to buy.

But is that really what’s expected?

While mortgage rates have come down a bit in the last few weeks, forecasts don’t show a major drop ahead. The most likely scenario is that rates stay somewhere in the low 6% range this year. 

And that’s not a big change from where rates are now (see graph below): 

a graph with numbers and linesOf course, this depends on where inflation and the economy go from here. But, based on what we know today, waiting for a big drop in rates may not work out the way some people hope. As U.S. News explains:

“Mortgage rates aren't expected to change much over the next several quarters . . .”

Not to mention, even with rates where they are today, it’s already more affordable than a year ago. So, even if they don’t change much, it’s still better than it was.

Misconception #2: "There Are Too Many Homes for Sale Right Now”

You’ve probably heard inventory is up. And nationally, it is. The number of homes for sale is 8% higher than this time last year. But that's not a bad thing. In fact, it’s one of the reasons buyers have a bit more breathing room right now.

The problem is the headlines are making something good, sound bad. They’re focusing on how this is the most inventory we’ve had since 2019 or how many homes builders are building. And that can make it sound like the number of homes for sale is rising too far, too fast.

But that’s not what the bigger picture shows.

Data from Realtor.com proves that, even though inventory is up compared to last year, it’s still nearly 14% lower than it was during the last normal housing market (2017-2019):

While it can vary a lot based on where you live, only 9 states have more inventory than pre-pandemic today. That’s a key reason why there still aren’t enough homes for sale to trigger something like the crash back in 2008.

Misconception #3: “Home Prices Are About To Crash”

You’ve probably seen this one, too. The confusion is coming from the fact that some metros are experiencing slight price declines. And influencers are running with that and saying prices are crashing. But that’s not the reality.

Most areas are seeing prices rise, not fall. And that’s because:

  • Many homeowners aren’t selling because they don’t want to give up the low mortgage rate they locked in a few years ago. And that’s keeping a lid on how much inventory can grow.
  • Since inventory is still below pre-pandemic norms, there aren’t enough homes for sale to cause a price crash.
  • And even in markets with more inventory, some sellers are choosing to pull their homes off the market instead of cutting prices.

And those are 3 big reasons prices aren’t headed for a crash. 

And even in the markets experiencing mild declines, the drops aren’t enough to cancel out the big gains most homeowners have seen in the last 5 years (see graph below):

That’s not a crash. That’s just prices moderating after a few record-breaking years.

Bottom Line

Online posts are going to make things sound worse than they are. If you want a true, data-bound look at what’s really happening in today’s market, lean on a real estate agent.

Let’s connect so you have someone to separate fact from fiction today.

Firewood Season is Now Open on Mt. Hood National Forest

by Liz Warren

Firewood season now open on Mt. Hood National Forest

Free personal use permit required to collect up to six cords

Release Date: April 13, 2026

SANDY, Ore. — Personal use firewood permits are now available for the season on Mt. Hood National Forest. 

All woodcutters must obtain a firewood permit to cut and haul firewood from the Forest. Permits are available at a district office or by submitting a firewood permit application. Each household may collect a maximum of six cords annually with a free firewood permit for personal use only. Permits are valid through November 30. 

Woodcutters who need more than six cords of firewood or intend to collect firewood for resale must purchase a commercial firewood permit, which is available upon request pending availability. 

All woodcutters must carry their permit, firewood load tags, firewood map, and a current information sheet while harvesting. Woodcutters may only collect and cut downed wood. Felling standing trees, dead or alive, is illegal. Firewood cutting areas are described on the required firewood maps and information sheets, which are updated regularly and reflect the current Industrial Fire Precaution Level of each area.  

More firewood information is available online: www.fs.usda.gov/r06/mthood/permits/firewood  

Conditions across Mt. Hood National Forest vary and may change rapidly. Some Forest Service roads may be snow-covered, icy, or muddy. Several roads remain impassable due to downed trees, landslides, culvert blockages, and other damage caused by December’s significant storms. Vehicle access to some areas may be limited due to wildfire closures. Always know before you go: www.fs.usda.gov/r06/mthood/alerts 

Contact a district office for information on current conditions: www.fs.usda.gov/r06/mthood/offices   

Some community members who rely on firewood to heat their home may struggle to harvest firewood due to age or physical disabilities. Learn more about Mt. Hood National Forest’s firewood assistance program and how to apply: www.fs.usda.gov/media/158825  

 

The Best February for New Listings in 4 Years

by Liz Warren

$695,000

Still Creek Cabin

Mt. Hood Log Home on Still Creek

      Mt Hood Lodge on Still Creek     Still Creek in the Mt. Hood National Forest

                                                 Here's the link 

This turnkey Mt. Hood National Forest cedar log sided cabin on Still Creek comes along once in a blue moon. The mountain’s most popular waterfront location is a rare find. It comes fully furnished and completely updated to balance lodge like charm with modern amenities. Knotty cedar walls, vaulted ceilings, and wood beams in the great room highlight the river rock fireplace and walls of windows that showcase Still Creek views!The charming getaway has been remodeled and upgraded to perfection from the new metal roof, new flooring, new lighting, new windows, new electrical service and panels, new leather furniture, and new septic. Turn key and ready to go for summer and winter fun. Spread out and bring your friends. Plenty of parking too with two driveway entrances and half circular graveled driveway. There’s spacious room with three bedrooms, a hideaway kids loft plus two and a half baths. Bedrooms feature log beds with matching nightstands and new window treatments throughout. A huge deck off the great room is perfection for summer barbecues and stunning views of Still Creek and the forest. One big bonus is the easy access to the water for kid and dog friendly wading and swimming. The clearest waterway on the mountain makes watching the salmon spawn in the fall a treat. Comfort is guaranteed year-round with forced-air electric heat and a toe warming wood stove. Gas generator included in case the power happens to go out!Your Mt. Hood basecamp is the perfect spot to enjoy hiking, skiing and mountain biking. Only 15 minutes to the slopes. Mountain bike to Trillium Lake out your front door along with hiking trails too. Keep your mountain toys in the log sided outbuilding for easy storage. This super convenient location has two access roads off Highway 26 and is close to stores, coffee shops and restaurants. It’s a quick hour from Portland yet you feel a million miles away.

Many Mt. Hood Owners Delisted and Are Now Re-Listing

by Liz Warren

The #1 Reason Buyers Walk Away (And How To Get Ahead of It)



 

You may have seen headlines on social saying the number of buyers backing out of their contracts is on the rise – and has recently reached a high not seen since 2017. That can sound intimidating. But it varies a lot by market.

And here’s the key thing to understand if you want to sell. A lot of the time, there’s one common cause. And it’s something you can actually control.

Here’s what you can do to get ahead of the biggest dealbreaker before it ever becomes a problem.

The Top Dealbreaker: Issues That Pop Up During the Inspection

A Redfin survey shows over 70% of recently cancelled contracts happened because of issues during the home inspection (see graph below): 

a screenshot of a surveyAnd that makes sense. Because today’s buyers have something they didn’t have a couple of years ago: options.

Why Fixing Things Before You List Matters More Today

A few years back, when buyers felt rushed or boxed in due to the limited number of homes for sale, they were more willing to overlook issues.

But in today’s market, skipping essential repairs is one of the fastest ways to lose a deal.

Now that there are more homes to choose from, buyers can be more selective. If a house feels risky, outdated, or like it’s hiding expensive surprises, they’re a lot more likely to walk away. So, what do you have to fix? Just ask an agent.

How Your Agent Can Help Give You the Edge

A local agent will be able to walk through your house and offer advice on what to tackle based on your specific home, your market, and what buyers are prioritizing in your area. They'll also have first-hand knowledge about some of the biggest turnoffs for buyers today. And you can use that expertise to prevent future headaches.

For example, according to Zillow, these are some of the issues buyers will care the most about:

  • Roof leaks or damage: sagging, leaking, etc.
  • Plumbing problems: standing water, leaks, water damage, etc.
  • Electrical concerns: outdated or exposed wiring, missing GFCI outlets, etc.
  • HVAC issues: non-functioning units
  • Pest or insect damage: termite colonies, etc.
  • Hazardous materials: lead, mold, asbestos, etc.
  • Safety/code violations: missing smoke detectors, windows stuck closed, etc.
  • Structural problems: cracks in the foundation, sagging floors, etc.

 

Odds are not all of this even applies to your house. Maybe only 1-2 things do. Or maybe none of them do. It just depends. But an agent will have the tools and resources to help you figure it out and stay one step ahead.

The Benefits of a Pre-Listing Inspection

To buyers, these aren’t cosmetic issues. They’re trust issues. And that’s what you need to watch out for today. Once buyers start wondering “what else might be wrong,” it’s hard to recover momentum.

That’s why some agents are even recommending a pre-listing inspection as a sneak peek into what buyers will see on their own inspection. With that insight, you can:

  • Fix concerns before you list, or disclose issues upfront
  • Avoid having to respond or negotiate under pressure
  • Stop scrambling to find contractors with availability before your closing date

But remember, you don't have to fix everything. You just have to be strategic about what you do tackle, so you and your buyer aren’t caught off guard.

And that’s why you need an agent who can:

  • Decide if a pre-listing inspection is worth it where you live
  • Recommend a trusted inspector (if you decide to get one)
  • Look at the results with you to identify true dealbreakers in your market
  • Help you decide what to fix or what to credit
  • Make sure you avoid over-spending or under-preparing

Bottom Line

One of the biggest dealbreakers for buyers today is inspection issues – and that’s something you can control. You just need to be proactive about high-impact repairs before you list.

If you want help figuring out where to focus, let's connect so we can keep your sale on track from day one.

       

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